Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Walmart heirs own more wealth than bottom 40 percent of Americans

PolitiFact | Bernie Sanders says Walmart heirs own more wealth than bottom 40 percent of Americans:

As noted in an earlier post, societies with disproportionate wealth distributions, as is now the case in the United States, are subject to social instability and occasional revolution.  Tax policies that result in a handful of families with more wealth than over 100 million families violates any sense of fairness and common sense.  Yet, a segment of the radical right believes that tax policies that favor the wealthy will lead to more wealth for everyone.  Never mind that that hasn't worked the last two times it was tried.  Common Sense thinks that policy needs to support the poor and grow the middle class not make the wealthy wealthier.  That's just common sense if you want a healthy society.
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Monday, July 16, 2012

Fact checking the presidential candidates - The Washington Post

Fact checking the presidential candidates - The Washington Post:

For the most part I'm not a fan of sending along videos.  This one is an exception.

For interested readers, above is a video of a recent speech given by Glenn Kessler on fact checking the statements of President Obama, former governor Mitt Romney and their allies during this presidential season. In the June speech before the National Capital Area Skeptics, Kessler describes the Pinocchio ranking system, explains how he evaluates various claims and provides commentary on various television advertisements that he shows to the audience. He also answers questions — some skeptical — from the audience.




'via Blog this'

Monday, July 2, 2012

When ideological purity trumps common sense

Republicans’ repeal push: Is it the right move? - The Washington Post:


“I will act to repeal Obamacare,” said former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney on Friday. 
“We will not flinch from our resolve to make sure this law is repealed in its entirety,” House Speaker John Boehner said Sunday on CBS’ “Face the Nation”. 
“If I’m the leader of the majority next year, I commit to the American people that the repeal of Obamacare will be job one,” said Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) on “Fox News Sunday”.

Florida says no to two U.S. healthcare law features | Reuters:

(Reuters) - Florida will not implement two provisions of the U.S. healthcare law involving an expansion of Medicaid for the poor and creation of a private insurance exchange, Governor Rick Scott said on Sunday.
Two other states with Republican governors, Wisconsin and Louisiana, opted out of the two provisions last week in the wake of the Supreme Court decision upholding the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.

And so the games begin.  Lets try some common sense.

Mitt Romney, the man who would be president, who believed in the principal provisions of the Affordable Care Act when he was governor of Massachusetts, now believes that these are, and  here I'll quote Mr. Romney, "bad law."  Curious that and certainly not common sense.

John Boehner and Mitch McConnell want to repeal the law in its entirety.  Thus it follows that they object to elements of the law that prohibit insurance company abuses involving preexisting conditions, insurance cancellation if you become sick, extended coverage for minors, insurance exchanges so those who must buy their own insurance can get a better price.  Clearly the ideology of the radical right trumps what is good for United States citizens.  Certainly not common sense.

Radical right wing ideology extends to governor's offices, at least in Florida, Wisconsin, and Louisiana all of whom object to extending medical care for the poor and setting up insurance exchanges.

In the matter of Medicare the choice is simple, we can provide Medicare insurance to the poor so they are less sick less often or, as the governors seem to believe, we can allow them to become more sick, more often, and then go to Hospitals, the most expensive form of medical care where the cost is ultimately covered by the cost of insurance on everyone else.  Certainly not common sense.

The nonsense with insurance exchanges is equally wrong headed, aka just plain dumb.  By not setting up exchanges these governors require citizens without employer provided insurance to buy as individuals.  Such insurance is, and here I speak from my own experience, much more expensive and consequentially leads many to become uninsured.  The result is as above, more sick, more often, care in much more expensive hospital settings, cost born by everyone else.  Certainly not common sense.

Ideological purity leads to bad government.  It's time for Congress and Governors alike to look to the "general welfare" of United States citizens.  That's one of the principals of our form of government.  That's just common sense.

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Saturday, June 30, 2012

When is privacy not privacy

Recently I received this email from TurboTax.


TurboTax(R) - Choose Easy. Privacy Notification




Dear Valued TurboTax Customer,

You're receiving this notice because your e-mail address is registered with TurboTax(R) and we want to share our privacy statement with you.

As the trusted steward of your data, we place the highest importance on your privacy and our principles require that we all be accountable for your privacy. Therefore, without your explicit permission, we will not sell, publish or share data entrusted to us that identifies you.

We value our relationship with you and want you to feel confident when using our products and services and entrusting your personal information to us.

Sincerely,
The TurboTax Team

P.S. If you'd like to learn more about Intuit's privacy policies or want to update your privacy preferences, you can visit us at http://privacy.intuit.com.

 
By way of setting context, TurboTax is a great product, witness their market share.  I've used it for several years and been reasonably satisified.

But is this reasonable privacy?  On first reading it might seem OK but what it doesn't say raises some issues.  This policy doesn't say that TurboTax will not sell my data, only that it will not explicitly identify it as belonging to me.  It doesn't say that TurboTax will not sell my email address.  It doesn't say that TurboTax won't aggregate my data to identify the town I live in or the street I live on as appropriate for some purpose.

Common Sense wonders, when is privacy not private?

Friday, June 29, 2012

Supreme Court & Affordable Care Act

The Supreme Court has ruled on the Affordable Care Act, upholding the requirement that almost all citizens must purchase health insurance or pay a penalty.  The  court upheld the Act on the argument that the penalty is a tax thus the Act is a proper exercise in Congresses power to tax.

While Common Sense has reluctantly favored the Act I am troubled about the entire matter.  The Act will result in more citizens having health care insurance and corrects some of the most egregious health insurance abuses.  These are clearly improvements to health care in the United States. 

Yet the Act does not effectively address the central issue of health care cost.  In the United States we spend roughly twice as much money per individual as other post industrialized nations yet our health results on many metrics are relatively poor ranking 37 according to the World Health Organization.   While the ranking is debatable, it is clearly true that the United States health care system is over priced and that it under performs.  The Act contains some provisions designed to address cost but, significantly, does not address any of the fundamental issues that drive excessive health care cost.  It address principally who pays, insurance companies, not how much is paid, cost.  It does nothing to address the disparity is drug cost between the United States and other nations such as Canada.  Likewise, it does nothing to address excessive health apparatus cost. It does nothing to address malpractice insurance cost.  It does nothing to address the very real 10 to 20 to one cost differences for identical procedures in the United States and Europe or Asia or Central America.  Thus while the act unequivocally does some good it simply doesn't effectively engage the issue of cost.


Common Sense continues to believe that we deserve much better law from our elected representatives.  A health care law modeled after other countries such as Canada where cost are roughly half the United States is one clearly effective alternative.


This Supreme Court decision establishes a new federal power that troubles Common Sense.  The decision's rational establishes the principal that Government can use tax to coerce an individual citizen to engage in a commercial transaction.  While it is true that tax policy has long been used to shape commercial activity the Court's reasoning extends government's use of the power to tax to a level that is coercive.


There are significant differences between previous tax policies that apply to individuals to shape behavior and the Act's use of a tax penalty.  For example a tax policy that gives individuals favorable tax treatment for a home purchase as we have today is clearly different than a tax policy that would increase taxes on renters since they do not purchase a home.  The first kind of tax policy has long been accepted.  Home ownership is widely viewed as a societal good and thus deserving of favorable tax treatment.  The second kind of tax policy would doubtless generate enormous resistance just as the Act has done.  It is interesting no note that while a tax credit or deduction for those with insurance is certainly conceivable Congress chose instead to impose a coercive penalty tax.

While Common Sense reluctantly favors the Affordable Care Act as a flawed improvement to a clearly broken health care system, I am very troubled by the Supreme Court's reasoning.  Common Sense believes both that United States citizens deserve much better health care reform likely based on the single payer systems that have demonstrably better results, and that this Supreme Court reasoning is both flawed and ultimately dangerous.

Friday, April 13, 2012

US Supreme Court and Health Care

The Affordable Care Act aka Obamacare is under review by the US Supreme Court.  The case was brought by 26 states and a number of private parties.  While the challenges vary in detail, the central issue is the law's provision that requires individuals to purchase health insurance.  The say the least, the law is controversial.  Herewith some facts and common sense.

What is the law

Herewith the principal provisions of the law from Wikipedia:
  • Medicaid eligibility is expanded to include all individuals and families with incomes up to 133% of the poverty level along with a simplified CHIP enrollment process.[21][22]
  • Health insurance exchanges will commence operation in each state, offering a marketplace where individuals and small businesses can compare policies and premiums, and buy insurance (with a government subsidy if eligible).[23]
  • Low income persons and families above the Medicaid level and up to 400% of the federal poverty level will receive federal subsidies[24] on a sliding scale if they choose to purchase insurance via an exchange (persons at 150% of the poverty level would be subsidized such that their premium cost would be of 2% of income or $50 a month for a family of 4).[25]
  • Minimum standards for health insurance policies are to be established and annual and lifetime coverage caps will be banned.[26]
  • Firms employing 50 or more people but not offering health insurance will also pay a shared responsibility requirement if the government has had to subsidize an employee's health care.[27]
  • Very small businesses will be able to get subsidies if they purchase insurance through an exchange.[28]
  • Changes are enacted that allow a restructuring of Medicare reimbursement from "fee-for-service" to "bundled payments."[31][32]
Common Sense wonders if those making the most noise about this law actually know what it provides.

Why health care reform


Any rational consideration of health care reform needs to address the base issue of why should the government get involved in health care.  There are several reasons supporting this involvement.

The first and arguably most compelling from a cost point of view is that the government is already the dominant health care payer.  US health care spending in 2010 was some $2.6 trillion, 17.9% of the US GDP.  In 2011 federal spending on Medicare, Medicaid, and Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) was 21% of federal spending, some $769 billion.  Wikipedia says that 60-65% of all health care spending is government funded.  Absent effective reform future government health care spending will increase and continue to be a major contributor to federal deficits.

In addition various federal and state laws require certain health care providers, notably hospitals, to provide health care services independent of the recipients ability to pay.  Other government programs regulate drugs, treatment technology, and services.  In addition to being the largest payer for health care, government is the principal health care regulator.


US per-capita health care spending is over twice that of other first world nations yet key measures of health in the US are lower, often far lower than other nations.  The WHO ranks the US health care system as 37th in overall performance despite being highest in cost.

Clearly, the current US health care system is seriously broken.  Common Sense believes that notwithstanding any arguments of private sector v. public sector efficiency, the current system's inability to deliver reasonable health care results at a reasonable cost is undeniable.

Issues before the Supreme Court

The Court has scheduled an unusual three days of hearings on the law addressing the following issues:
  • Does the Tax Anti-Injunction Act apply to that portion of the law requiring all consumers to buy health insurance or pay a fine.  If it's a fine then the Court can rule on the law soon.  If it's a tax, then the court must wait until 2015 this portion of the law.
  • Did Congress overstep its bounds by including the individual mandate itself in the law.  This question hinges on the Commerce Clause of the constitution.
  • Can the rest of the law stand if the individual mandate is deemed unconstitutional.  Many argue that the premise of the law rest on requiring all consumers to buy health insurance to pay for the other previsions of the law.

Common Sense notes that only one provision of the law proper is before the court, the individual mandate.  Other provisions of the law are only at issue as a consequence of the severability argument.
Support for the law

Much, most of it stunningly self serving and distorted, has been said about support for the law.  The facts are that general support and opposition are fairly evenly divided with significant numbers of Americans undecided.


Other polls vary.
2012-03-26-Blumenthal-allfavoroppose.png
Interestingly, support for most provisions of the law is generally high with the individual mandate/penalty the notable exception.

2012-03-27-Blumenthal-kaisercomponentstable.png

Clearly, the central support issue is the individual mandate/penalty.  Just as clearly support is sharply divided along political parties.

Conservative principles and health care

Conservative principles would argue for a free market approach to health care.  Historically, the US has had a free market health care system with a mix of profit and not-for-profit hospitals and for-profit insurers.  Obamacare preserves this system.  It does have provisions that regulate insurers.  These provisions have broad support.  To fund these provisions it establishes an individual mandate/penalty.

Common Sense notes that this is, in fact, a generally conservative approach, at least in so far as profit making hospitals and insurers remain at the heart of the system.  This is in sharp contrast to single payer models common in much of the industrialized world.

Where conservatives find issue is the individual mandate/penalty.  They see it as an intrusion by the federal government in individual rights and a violation of the Constitution's Commerce Clause.

Common Sense notes that an alternative would be a single payer system.  Such a system would be based on existing principles that allow medicare/medicaid and the federal government's ability to tax.  Of course, the history of Obamacare and other health care reforms strongly suggests that conservatives would find this equally unacceptable.  The US would be forced to continue using a health care system that is both expensive and ineffective to the point of jeopardize the entire economy.

The commerce clause

At the heart of the constitutional questions before the court is the commerce clause as interpreted by the courts.  The commerce clause is one of the enumerated powers in the constitution.  It states simply
[The Congress shall have Power] To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and with the Indian tribes;
The clause has been the subject of at least 46 historic supreme court cases and as interpreted by the courts has served as the legal basis for among other things
  • federal regulation of in-state industrial production,
  • federal regulation of worker hours and wages
  • federal regulation of state activity when it has a "substantial economic effect" on interstate commerce or if the "cumulative effect" could have such an effect
  • federal Civil Rights acts outlawing segregation and prohibited discrimination
There are some noteworthy limits on what is permissible under the Commerce Clause.  In particular Lopez v. United States. 514 U.S. 549 (1995) that struck down the federal Gun Free School Zones Act of 1990 and Morrison v. United States which overturned the Violence Against Women Act.   Taken together, Lopez and Morrison have made clear that while the Court is still willing to recognize a broad interpretation of the Commerce Clause, if it does not find activity substantial enough to constitute interstate commerce it will not accept Congress's stated reason for federal regulation.

It is reasonable to say that the commerce clause is one of the most hotly debated clauses in the constitution.

The Commerce Clause and the Individual Mandate


The Individual Mandate provision is the commerce clause issue before the court.  Various lower federal courts have either dodged the issue or decided differently from one another.  While much has been written about the issue at root the central question is does an individual decision to NOT purchase health insurance constitute commerce.  The federal government argues that it does.  Opponents argue that it doesn't.  Intimately connected to this issue is the question of what limits the scope of the commerce clause.  Given the history of the Commerce Clause litigation it is nearly impossible to predict what the Supreme Court will decide.

Severability

Obamacare contains many provisions beyond the individual mandate.  Opponents of the law argue that absent the individual mandate the other provisions must fall.  Proponents argue that they should stand.  Common Sense notes that where similar laws exist without an individual mandate health insurance premiums have skyrocketed largely because of preexisting condition provision.  

Common Sense and Obamacare


Common Sense believes unequivocally that health care reform is necessary.  Further that absent such reform health care cost are likely unsustainable.  That is not to say that Obamacare is good law.  Common Sense believes that it is not on the argument that it does not in fact address the issue of health care cost or does it do much to address the issue of health care results.  What it does do is address the issue of mandated treatment v. cost by the individual mandate and to address some of the most egregious health insurance practices.

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Saturday, March 17, 2012

SOPA/PIPA, Statistics & Common Sense Humor

Common Sense often wonders when statistics are bantered about.  DO they make any sense at all?  If you put them in a bag, drop the bag on the floor and it splits, what's the smell like?  Once in a while someone pokes some well deserved humor at the bizarre claims that are all to common.  Here's one worth a few minutes.

Rob Reid: The $8 billion iPod - YouTube:

Interesting President Obama fact check

PolitiFact | Fact-checking the Obama campaign film:



The radical right has been an unending source of nonsense for Common Sense.  But now, as President Obama begins to campaign for re-election more seriously it's only fair to examine his campaign statements. Courtesy of PolitiFact.com (it should be must reading for every voter) an interesting examination of The Road We've Traveled, a Davis Guggenheim documentary on President Obama.  So far the score is one Mostly True and one Mostly False.  While Common Sense would hope for and, indeed, expect better it's not bad at all in this political season when distortions so gross as to rise to lying are common.

While Common Sense is in the area here's the current Obama Meter (more details via the link).


Rating their promises

Campaign promises of GOP leaders
Campaign promises of Barack Obama
10
173
Promise Kept
1
52
Compromise
63
Promise Broken
1
5
67
Stalled
13
151
In the Works
2
Not yet rated
27

Common Sense thinks facts trump distorted rhetoric and mindless faith.  After all, reality has the special quality of being, well, real.  That's just common sense.
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Wednesday, March 14, 2012

What are they thinking - Washington state $100 surtax on EVs


General Motors earlier this week sent a letter to Washington Gov. Chris Gregorie asking that a proposed $100 EV surtax be removed from the state’s transportation bill (Senate Bill 6455, ESSB 6455) on the grounds that it will create a disincentive toward the purchase of an EV. The proposal currently excludes vehicles such as the Chevrolet Volt, which can run part of the time on gasoline.
Proponents of the surtax argue the fee is needed to offset losses in state gas tax revenues since EV owners don’t need to buy gas. GM believes this proposal is misguided and will hurt sales and market adoption of EVs. The small number of pure EVs on the road at this point have a negligible impact on state revenues, GM argues.

In the special category of what are they thinking Washington State has proposed a $100 surtax on pure EVs, those that never run on gasoline.  It is of course true that gasoline taxes help pay for roads and that pure EVs don't use gasoline but do use roads.  It is also, however, true that burning gasoline is a significant contributor to global warming.  The obvious question is what matters most paying for roads or leaving a habitable environment to the future.  Common Sense suggest that the environment trumps roads.  What are they thinking?


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